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The Fundamental Index® method selects and weights securities
using fundamental metrics of company size rather than by
capitalization to break the linkage between portfolio weight
and any over- or under-valuation. In Fundamental Index® portfolios,
pricing errors cancel eliminating the return drag observed
in a cap-weighted portfolio.
Our research shows that
any Fundamental Index® methodology performs better than a
cap-weighted index. We tested a variety of measures, including
sales, dividends, cash flow, book value, and number of employees.
Some fundamental measures are more powerful than others,
but the range is surprisingly narrow. The gap between the
best and worst single-metric approach—a sales-weighted Fundamental
Index® portfolio and a dividend-weighted Fundamental Index®
portfolio—is barely 90 bps per year over the past 45 years.
Sales is the wellspring from which profits, book value, and
dividends must flow; so, it makes sense that sales work best
and dividends work worst. But there is also a link with risk.
A sales-weighted Fundamental Index® portfolio is the most
volatile and works best in bull markets, while a dividend-weighted
Fundamental Index® portfolio is the lowest volatility and
works best in bear markets (while failing miserably in most
bull markets).
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The RAFI® (Research Affiliates Fundamental Index®) method
uses four measures of size to gauge the economic footprint
of a company:
• Cash Flow
• Sales
• Book Value
• Dividends
Our research recognized that any single measure of firm
size has its own special vulnerabilities. For example, a
dividend-weighted index will exclude well over half of all
publicly traded companies, including many growth stocks and
essentially all emerging growth companies. A sales-weighted
index would clearly favor low margin companies over more
profitable firms and so on. Multiple, equal-weighted metrics
of company size results in a broader and more representative
investment portfolio.
The Fundamental Index® methodology is
explained in "Fundamental Indexation" by Arnott,
Hsu, and Moore (2005) (PDF) and in our newsletter
Fundamentals (PDF).
Overview | Methodology | Performance | RAFI®
FAQ | Awards
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